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Tag Archives: Arab Spring

Commentary – low hopes for Iraq

There’s an interesting, if depressing, conversation ongoing over at the National Journal expert blog about what’s to come for Iraq. A snippet from my own contribution: I normally try for guarded optimism on this blog, but the latest news from Iraq makes that hard. The situation increasingly sounds like one of Shakespeare’s darker history plays [...]

Commentary – stop enabling Israel’s self-destruction

A decade studying America’s wars in the Islamic world have given me a different perspective on the Arab-Israeli conflict, one that probably wouldn’t be too popular in Tel Aviv — or many places in this country, either. My latest commentary on the National Journal “expert blog” lays out my strategic argument: Here’s the strategic bottom [...]

Commentary – Optimistic about Libya, Pessimistic about Syria

The Arab Spring’s turn towards bloodshed remains, rightly, topic number one over at the National Journal security blog. I’ve commented lately on both Libya and Syria.  Today’s optimistic post on the fall of Qaddafi: Certainly it’s a mess. Certainly, everyone involved screwed up in ways that cost human lives – but war is like that [...]

Commentary – Long odds for democracy in Yemen

I commented further on the Yemeni revolution over at the National Journal security blog, arguing that the ouster of president Ali Abdullah Saleh is no great loss for American counter-terrorism, but that a democratic Yemen is unlikely: The United States has no national interest in Saleh’s survival. We do have an interest in a stable [...]

Appearances – I explain Yemen to Canadians

My global media preeminence (see here and here) appears to have spread to a distant, wintry land known to its inhabitants as “Canada.” I discussed the escalating civil strife in Yemen today with host Theo Caldwell of The Caldwell Account on the Sun News Network, sometimes considered Canada’s equivalent of Fox News. The show was [...]

Commentary – I’m pessimistic about Syria

I made my own gloomy contribution to the debate on the National Journal expert blog about the prospects for democracy in Syria: [T]he ruling Alawite minority knows that losing power would not just be a personal disaster for them and their families but a general disaster for the entire Alawite community….[so t]here’s no sign the Syrian [...]

Commentary – My daughter’s take on Osama bin Laden

My daughter provided guest commentary on the National Journal blog today, with me doing the actual writing since she can’t write yet: The first person I discussed bin Laden’s death with was my daughter. She was born in 2004 and has known since she could speak full sentences that “our soldiers” are fighting “the terrorists” [...]

Commentary – Libyan rebels, get a tactical clue

Over at the National Journal blog, I give vent to my frustration with the Libyan rebels’ incapacity for basic tactics and offer them some advice: I’m beginning to feel like a Chicago Cubs fan here. Guys, stop running straight up and down the highway already and try outflanking someone for a change. As long as [...]

Commentary – what Obama couldn’t say about the “Arab Spring”

Over at the National Journal expert blog, where I’m once again both moderating and contributing, I’ve just posted my latest on the Libyan civil war and the repercussions — positive ones, I believe — of our intervention across the Arab world: We want these revolutions to succeed. And right now, the biggest threat to them comes [...]

Appearances – I explain Libya to Romanians

Much to my surprise, I am apparently considered a pundit in Romania, where a website called http://www.hotnews.ro/ interviewed me about the U.S. role in Libya. The interview as published will not be that illuminating to those of you who don’t actually speak Romanian, although between remembering what I wrote in English and recognizing Latin roots I [...]